Here are some of the questions I am contemplating.
Can I/we humans - discover that real satisfaction comes from the vulnerability of loving relationship rather than from illusions of control?
Am I/ are some of us humans - willing to trust that we humans are actually a very, very small part of the “WE” of a larger co-evolving beloved community that has been around forever, and who will fold us in and continue to include us even as we become extinct?
How do I-we humans - live into this rapid, anthropogenic extinction event with love, compassion, and wisdom?
I am profoundly grateful for your work. You see and then you say what you see and you ask, what am I missing and where do we go from here?
I feel like you and Rachel Donald and Nate Hagens and others are engaged in this deep empathetic inquiry which is in service of love.
And we are here to love - only love. Nothing more, nothing less, and nothing else.
This is liberatory and yet also profoundly prescriptive for us.
Thanks so much for reading and sharing these thoughts! I love the questions you're asking here, and very much agree that they're important. I'll need some time to reflect on how I'd answer! :-)
Thank you. One of my hopes is that many of us will be able to live into this crisis with a spirituality that emphasizes that we belong to each other in reality even though we cannot fully comprehend that. We can choose to love as best as we can, and also to trust the universe for ultimate outcomes…. This is not easy to move into for us who have been trained to isolate ourselves and to see ourselves as completely separate and even as competing entities who can only survive through domination and control.
We are challenged in our time to answer the question: “ what does it mean for me to be a human being?”
I notice the Peter Theil is now trying to “techbro-splain the Antichrist” as he has been trying to “techbro-splain the apocalypse” for years now.
This is interesting as so many religions in the world have shifted from earth-based and village-based spirituality to corporatist-based spirituality over the last few hundred years.
Ancient mytho-poetic narratives are being captured, altered and weaponized by current elites, and also synthesized with what may be novel mytho-poetic narratives.
Who will tell the stories that bring peace and nurture beloved community rooted in our unity with earth here among the stars?
Mother Earth still invites us into her beloved community, I think - but we are busy crushing life out of the biosphere with the weight of our Global Goliath. That’s how I see our species now.
Will it be possible to tell stories that displace and replace the toxic stories that the organized crime syndicate masquerading as government now tell?
I find it interesting that both Luke Kemp and Sarah Kendzior - two quite different investigators of our current predicament - have both used the term “organized crime” to describe what they see going on in history, and especially today.
I agree with the assessment that extinction events seem improbable, even if we cannot entirely rule it out.
As far as civilizational collapse is concerned, I suppose it depends on the definition of what constitutes a collapse. If we are to remain within the current societal paradigm, it does indeed seem almost inevitable that our days are numbered. However, it's not as if the question of "Revolutionary change" had not been on our Civilization's agenda for some time, again and again (with wildly varying trackrecords and as a constant undercurrent), so I would argue that a paradigm shift that would substantially alter that trajectory would not necessarily constitute a collapse.
Moreover, I kind of think that the old idea of "Pessimism of the Intellect, Optimism of the Will" sort of demands that we need to fight this "almost inevitability" tooth and nail.
In terms of How to deal with this realization, I found Margaret Killjoy's short essay on "How to live like the world is ending" rather excellent.
Just read the article that you linked. It's fantastic, thoughtful, and very poignant. Really appreciate you sharing it!
And I agree with everything you say above. I highlight in a footnote that it's important to be clear about how one is defining "human extinction," but I then completely ignore the question of how to define "civilizational collapse." That's an inconsistency in the article, so thanks for pointing it out! I'll try to discuss this more when I write my review of Luke Kemp's new book. :-) Really appreciate your feedback here!!
while i agree with your overall assessment, i don't think your approach really gets to the roots of the predicament.
with pandemics - we've already got a piece of biotech here now that has managed to break the transmissibility | lethality tradeoff: the ongoing sars2 pandemic is as effective as it is because it slowly disables its hosts, rather than outright killing them - while circulating on a global world system of 8 billion people. it's hard to imagine a plague worse than this - altho we are reproducing the conditions for worse, so i guess we'll find out soon enough.
not sure why AI is considered to be an existential threat, given that we are nowhere near AGI (certainly not with LLMs and procgen models) and that humans are a necessary part of the supply chain for any AI system. an AGI event would constitute radical upheaval and revolutionary change for human civilization (we'd all be working for it, rather than the other way around) but this is again - hardly an extinction threat.
and if every nuke ever built went off tomorrow, it would certainly constitute a hard reset for civilization - but this would almost certainly extend the timeline of our extinction trajectory, seeing as we're currently reproducing an extinction event in overshoot.
the thing that guarantees civilizational collapse is overshoot and biodiversity loss, both of which spell the end of our energy and agricultural systems as we knew them. surprised to see no mention of overshoot here.
for a clear-eyed assessment of inevitable collapse, i recommend andrea's work over at @aep19.
Great article ..makes me think about A point from wolfgang streeck wrote on what happens when capitalism ends - in the west at least - is that with the withering of the welfare state there is an increasing reliance on pre modern institutions such as the family for welfare... However given the erosion of intermediate social forms by both social democratic state and then neoliberalism austerity etc as charted by the likes of deneen , sometimes discussed in policy literature as capacity for resilience makes it seem that streecks doomerism is a bit optimistic... I've been wondering if institutions like the Catholic church might continue to reproduce itself in some form of reoganising social reproduction on the collapse of civilization you discuss but Im not convinced . There is something that feels therapeutic in the timelessness of mass in a way I don't feel in a long time of leftist activism ....
Well. That’s a nice cheery read to kick off the long weekend.
I wish I had some arguments to make against your case, but what you wrote aligns with a lot of my thoughts recently. I feel like, in most of the world, we’ve built a society that is extremely vulnerable to some not-unlikely events: an EMP or cyberattack or AI malfunction that trashes the power grid and the Internet and leaves most of us quickly losing access to food, water, and livable shelter. I don’t see how these tech gazillionaire preppers are going to do all that much better than the rest of us if that happens. Sure, they’ll have their bunkers, so maybe they outlast the rest of us by months? Maybe years? But will they really have the wherewithal to rebuild the necessary infrastructure for a sustainable supply of food and potable water? Canned goods, MREs, and bottled water will last only so long.
We better not go extinct. I’m a firm believer that the galaxy is meant to teem with intelligent life one day and that we are meant in part to be progenitors of that. If we die out and leave the galaxy devoid of intelligent life, God is going to smack us in the afterlife for being idiots.
we have only had photographs for a rounding error number of years. the most widespread contemporary document about the boston massacre was a highly inaccurate artist’s depiction. if ai puts fake images and real photos on the same level, then that won’t have really set us back that far.
Collapse is structural (in several realms), and thus unavoidable, though the timeline is hazy. The world is huge; it will be very uneven and drawn out.
You touched upon most things, but of course one could go deep into behavioral psychology. I’d probebly mention the collective action problems, too. But yeah a full account of collapse would take a lot more than 10.000 words unless one aims for utmost brevity, in which case one isn’t explaining much.
I think what you're missing is that, say, Israel becomes a religious extremist country with nuclear weapons, and uses them. That's far more likely than a big player like Russia or the US throwing them around. There's also the billionaire psychopath aspect. Currently the nation state is still large and powerful enough to keep them in check, but that's rapidly fading, with both Russia and the USA falling to "strongman" illusions run by billionaires. Will that break down completely once someone as rich as Musk decides to take over an entire (or part of a) country with a robot army? Yes, those thousands of bipedal robots and quadcopter drones are only there to move parcels, but they could also drive a tank, carry a bomb, or punch through a wall.
A relatively small cult, or a rich country taken over by a cult, could bring something like this about, I fear. We would rebuild, though, unless something else were to happen at the same time. But of course, there's climate change and other random disasters, and with the right (wrong) timing...
“… although the “good news” is that our species will likely survive the cataclysms to come.”
Mainstream consensus science def does not tell us this. Whether we will near-term survive or not is very much an open question in the sciences. Do you think people shouldn’t know that the risk is extremely high that we won’t?
Please explain HOW the last remaining (never a good sign from an evolutionary perspective) of human can survive this right-on-time multifaceted converging cataclysm that is bearing down like a runaway speeding Mack truck on an ice-slicked hill:
=====
Up to a 12 F heat increase is projected for this century with half by midcentury (NOAA / EU climate reporting agencies). Noting that prolonged outdoor exposure to a 2 C increase will result in heat stroke even for young, healthy, hydrated human animals resting in the shade.
Noting that solar activity has only been as active as it has been for the past 100 years for 10% of the past 11,500 years and that it is projected to steadily increase for the next 50 years.
====
An AMOC stop. Projected for midcentury (potentially as soon as 2035). Plummeting temp fluctuations in the 10-15 C / 18-27 F range in the northern zone; a projected 4-5 billion human die off and even more extreme heat in the temperate zone. All within a decade of stop.
=====
Noting that we are spang in the zone for a cluster of nightmarish Miyake ejections, each 50-80x the size / intensity of the 1859 Carrington Event (which if occurring today would likely take down significant regions of the global energy grid for many months, years and potentially forever for many very real reasons).
Noting that nine extreme Miyake Events have occurred during just the past 15k years.
Noting that airbursts large enough to take out whole cities have an approx 1,500 year periodicity.
Noting that supervolcanos have an approx 17k year periodicity.
Noting that we are so in the zone for all of it.
Tick tock …
=====
Fast disappearing freshwater (a quarter of human biological organisms now exist in drought conditions); steadily declining seed / soil viability; steadily slowing photosynthesis; a mere 70 days of global ‘food surplus’ and noting that staple crops are projected to crash by 30% by 2030 (and ongoing).
=====
Runaway mass nonhuman die off: 65% of vertebrae species, 50% of insects, 85% of freshwater fish and 93% of ocean biomass have died off since 1970 with ongoing acceleration.
=====
Radically collapsing human fertility / sperm viability: 60% since 1970 and currently at 3% annually. At this rate, H. sapiens is functionally extinct in around 170 years although Henry Gee, paleontologist, evolutionary biologist and editor at Nature (dot com / in publication since 1869) has written (in Scientific American) that we might already be there. A “dead species walking”.
Noting that all human biological organisms are now saturated with disease-driving, reproductive-failing, life-shortening ‘forever’ PFAS / plastic particulates: in the bloodstream; in every organ of the body; in sperm, placenta and even in the bodily organs of human fetuses.
Noting that the snow on the highest mountain peaks; all fresh water; all ocean water; the air and the soil are all saturated too and noting that the majority of the past three decades of plastic manufacturing have not yet particularized and that plastic manufacturing increases every year.
=====
A potential near-term colossal comet fragment storm. Noting that around 2000, Earth began moving into a 350-400 year zone of its orbit that is thick with dense clouds of comet debris contains many large civilization ending chunks.
Noting that Earth was pounded from Alaska to New Guinea by a colossal comet fragment storm (during the ramping of the deadly destructive Gothenburg excursion event) with a very wide strewnfield that ignited 10-15% of Earth’s surface.
Noting that it is currently unknown if colossal comet fragment storms are a component of frequent minima / reversal events.
=====
Radically collapsing geomagnetic field strength (that terrestrial lifeforms depend on for sanity, sustenance, physical health / reproductive ability and life itself): around 60% since 3,100 BCE, The speed of this collapse significantly increased during the past 400 years (from 5% a century to 5% a year). It has radically increased during the past 1.5 decades in advance of a 100% normal, deadly and destructive geomagnetic minima / excursion or incursion (we don’t know which yet) / polarity reversal event.
Noting that whopper excursion events (six during just the past 70k years) have an approx 13k year periodicity (+/- 1k) with lesser, still deadly and destructive, geomagnetic minima events (without excursion / incursion) scale invariantly occurring between the whoppers, like the minima event, tightly sandwiched between two horror show Miyake events, that crashed Mayan culture and killed countless millions of human biological organisms globally.
“The strength of Earth's magnetic field in the past, recorded by rocks and sediments, provides a proxy for past flux of ultraviolet radiation (UVR) to Earth's surface due to the role of the field in modulating stratigraphic ozone. About 40,000 years ago, mammalian fossils in Australia and Eurasia record an important die-off of large mammals that included Neanderthals in Europe. In the Americas and Europe, a large mammalian die-off appears to have occurred ~13,000 years ago. Both die-offs can be linked to minima in Earth's magnetic field strength implying that UVR flux variations to Earth's surface influenced mammalian evolution. For the last ~200,000 years, estimates of the timing of branching episodes in the human evolutionary tree, from modern and fossil DNA and Y chromosomes, can be linked to minima in field strength, which implies a long-term role for UVR in human evolution. New fossil finds, improved fossil dating, knowledge of the past strength of Earth's magnetic field, and refinements in the human evolutionary tree, are sharpening the focus on a possible link between UVR arriving at the Earth's surface, magnetic field strength, and events in mammalian evolution.”
Noting that modern mainstream science has been researching the geomagnetic field and its relationship to solar variability since the late 1500s. It has been studying the effects of the field on terrestrial operating systems including physiological / neurological, including human, since the mid 1800s.
Noting that extreme human and nonhuman die off; extreme heat; AMOC stop and extreme effects; global drought and extreme converging volcanic activity are all expected components of whopper geomagnetic minima / reversal events which are as common as dirt here in Earth.
“The Earth’s core is undergoing a dramatic change with geomagnetic field strength dropping by 40% over the last 400 years, and satellite observations showing the field weakening ten times faster than previously calculated. These changes are a precursor to a common geological phenomenon known as a geomagnetic polarity reversal, where the north and south magnetic poles of the Earth reverse. Geomagnetic polarity reversals significantly decrease the strength of the magnetic field, thereby considerably increasing the interaction of the solar wind with the Earth’s atmosphere and biosphere. The purpose of this research is to answer if the United States is prepared for the impacts to national security resulting from the next geomagnetic polarity reversal.”
[ excerpt from: A Research Report Submitted to the Faculty of the Air Force Air Command and Staff College by Tyler J. Williams, Captain, U.S. Air Force. 2015. Approved for public release ]
Noting that the military would not have approved public release of this report if it was not factual; that the report is a decade old and that geomagnetic field strength collapse has been radically accelerating for the past decade so that “40%” can be bumped up to around 55-60% currently with an established pattern of acceleration.
Note “biosphere” which is inclusive of ‘human biological organisms’.
Noting that a geomagnetic minima / reversal occurred at the peak of PETM warming / extreme extinction. This minima / reversal stands out as a sharp heat spike against the warming / extincting background.
Noting that during the geomagnetic minima / incursion (not excursion) / polarity reversal event 800k years ago, human population was reduced to less than 2,000 individual human animals.
This tiny, twirling, externally-forced,exceedingly unstable clump of space debris, which is careening and wobbling around a colossal, volatile, flaming sphere (that with near-term periodicity annihilates the life it enables) in a violently churning, thickly radiated, virus-swarmed, debris-clogged ocean of space, is def not a safe place for human animals to live. It never has been and cannot ever be and the human herd is not in charge here.
Noting that nine other iterations of human extincted during just the past 300k years (a very skinny blink in time) as a direct or indirect result of exoterresterial / terrestrial conditions that nearly precisely mirror what is occurring now and projected for this very dangerous century.
Which changes everything, doesn’t it? We can no longer blithely / naively assume that the last remaining iteration of human, now pathologically alienated from actuality / place to the point of literal psychosis (by clinical definition); tightly shrink wrapped in a received, painful but much preferred hallucinatory amnesia; all-about-me woo-woo’d in every kind of way and 24/7/365 ‘entertained’ on demand, can survive this very dangerous century and the next. All signs point toward near-term termination of the last human species.
Here are some of the questions I am contemplating.
Can I/we humans - discover that real satisfaction comes from the vulnerability of loving relationship rather than from illusions of control?
Am I/ are some of us humans - willing to trust that we humans are actually a very, very small part of the “WE” of a larger co-evolving beloved community that has been around forever, and who will fold us in and continue to include us even as we become extinct?
How do I-we humans - live into this rapid, anthropogenic extinction event with love, compassion, and wisdom?
I am profoundly grateful for your work. You see and then you say what you see and you ask, what am I missing and where do we go from here?
I feel like you and Rachel Donald and Nate Hagens and others are engaged in this deep empathetic inquiry which is in service of love.
And we are here to love - only love. Nothing more, nothing less, and nothing else.
This is liberatory and yet also profoundly prescriptive for us.
Thanks so much for reading and sharing these thoughts! I love the questions you're asking here, and very much agree that they're important. I'll need some time to reflect on how I'd answer! :-)
Thank you. One of my hopes is that many of us will be able to live into this crisis with a spirituality that emphasizes that we belong to each other in reality even though we cannot fully comprehend that. We can choose to love as best as we can, and also to trust the universe for ultimate outcomes…. This is not easy to move into for us who have been trained to isolate ourselves and to see ourselves as completely separate and even as competing entities who can only survive through domination and control.
We are challenged in our time to answer the question: “ what does it mean for me to be a human being?”
I notice the Peter Theil is now trying to “techbro-splain the Antichrist” as he has been trying to “techbro-splain the apocalypse” for years now.
This is interesting as so many religions in the world have shifted from earth-based and village-based spirituality to corporatist-based spirituality over the last few hundred years.
Ancient mytho-poetic narratives are being captured, altered and weaponized by current elites, and also synthesized with what may be novel mytho-poetic narratives.
Who will tell the stories that bring peace and nurture beloved community rooted in our unity with earth here among the stars?
Mother Earth still invites us into her beloved community, I think - but we are busy crushing life out of the biosphere with the weight of our Global Goliath. That’s how I see our species now.
Will it be possible to tell stories that displace and replace the toxic stories that the organized crime syndicate masquerading as government now tell?
I find it interesting that both Luke Kemp and Sarah Kendzior - two quite different investigators of our current predicament - have both used the term “organized crime” to describe what they see going on in history, and especially today.
I agree with the assessment that extinction events seem improbable, even if we cannot entirely rule it out.
As far as civilizational collapse is concerned, I suppose it depends on the definition of what constitutes a collapse. If we are to remain within the current societal paradigm, it does indeed seem almost inevitable that our days are numbered. However, it's not as if the question of "Revolutionary change" had not been on our Civilization's agenda for some time, again and again (with wildly varying trackrecords and as a constant undercurrent), so I would argue that a paradigm shift that would substantially alter that trajectory would not necessarily constitute a collapse.
Moreover, I kind of think that the old idea of "Pessimism of the Intellect, Optimism of the Will" sort of demands that we need to fight this "almost inevitability" tooth and nail.
In terms of How to deal with this realization, I found Margaret Killjoy's short essay on "How to live like the world is ending" rather excellent.
https://margaretkilljoy.substack.com/p/how-to-live-like-the-world-is-ending
Just read the article that you linked. It's fantastic, thoughtful, and very poignant. Really appreciate you sharing it!
And I agree with everything you say above. I highlight in a footnote that it's important to be clear about how one is defining "human extinction," but I then completely ignore the question of how to define "civilizational collapse." That's an inconsistency in the article, so thanks for pointing it out! I'll try to discuss this more when I write my review of Luke Kemp's new book. :-) Really appreciate your feedback here!!
while i agree with your overall assessment, i don't think your approach really gets to the roots of the predicament.
with pandemics - we've already got a piece of biotech here now that has managed to break the transmissibility | lethality tradeoff: the ongoing sars2 pandemic is as effective as it is because it slowly disables its hosts, rather than outright killing them - while circulating on a global world system of 8 billion people. it's hard to imagine a plague worse than this - altho we are reproducing the conditions for worse, so i guess we'll find out soon enough.
not sure why AI is considered to be an existential threat, given that we are nowhere near AGI (certainly not with LLMs and procgen models) and that humans are a necessary part of the supply chain for any AI system. an AGI event would constitute radical upheaval and revolutionary change for human civilization (we'd all be working for it, rather than the other way around) but this is again - hardly an extinction threat.
and if every nuke ever built went off tomorrow, it would certainly constitute a hard reset for civilization - but this would almost certainly extend the timeline of our extinction trajectory, seeing as we're currently reproducing an extinction event in overshoot.
the thing that guarantees civilizational collapse is overshoot and biodiversity loss, both of which spell the end of our energy and agricultural systems as we knew them. surprised to see no mention of overshoot here.
for a clear-eyed assessment of inevitable collapse, i recommend andrea's work over at @aep19.
Great article ..makes me think about A point from wolfgang streeck wrote on what happens when capitalism ends - in the west at least - is that with the withering of the welfare state there is an increasing reliance on pre modern institutions such as the family for welfare... However given the erosion of intermediate social forms by both social democratic state and then neoliberalism austerity etc as charted by the likes of deneen , sometimes discussed in policy literature as capacity for resilience makes it seem that streecks doomerism is a bit optimistic... I've been wondering if institutions like the Catholic church might continue to reproduce itself in some form of reoganising social reproduction on the collapse of civilization you discuss but Im not convinced . There is something that feels therapeutic in the timelessness of mass in a way I don't feel in a long time of leftist activism ....
Well. That’s a nice cheery read to kick off the long weekend.
I wish I had some arguments to make against your case, but what you wrote aligns with a lot of my thoughts recently. I feel like, in most of the world, we’ve built a society that is extremely vulnerable to some not-unlikely events: an EMP or cyberattack or AI malfunction that trashes the power grid and the Internet and leaves most of us quickly losing access to food, water, and livable shelter. I don’t see how these tech gazillionaire preppers are going to do all that much better than the rest of us if that happens. Sure, they’ll have their bunkers, so maybe they outlast the rest of us by months? Maybe years? But will they really have the wherewithal to rebuild the necessary infrastructure for a sustainable supply of food and potable water? Canned goods, MREs, and bottled water will last only so long.
We better not go extinct. I’m a firm believer that the galaxy is meant to teem with intelligent life one day and that we are meant in part to be progenitors of that. If we die out and leave the galaxy devoid of intelligent life, God is going to smack us in the afterlife for being idiots.
we have only had photographs for a rounding error number of years. the most widespread contemporary document about the boston massacre was a highly inaccurate artist’s depiction. if ai puts fake images and real photos on the same level, then that won’t have really set us back that far.
Collapse is structural (in several realms), and thus unavoidable, though the timeline is hazy. The world is huge; it will be very uneven and drawn out.
You touched upon most things, but of course one could go deep into behavioral psychology. I’d probebly mention the collective action problems, too. But yeah a full account of collapse would take a lot more than 10.000 words unless one aims for utmost brevity, in which case one isn’t explaining much.
On a side note, Martin Rees gave me a copy of that book, and I used it as an opener for my series on collapse 🙂 https://gnug315.substack.com/p/part-1-of-5-denial
Ever read The Chrysalids? It terrified me as a kid. Not unlike this essay. ;-)
No, I haven't! Thanks for the recommendation. :-)
So Agenda 2030 won’t be fulfilled?
A very solid article.
I think what you're missing is that, say, Israel becomes a religious extremist country with nuclear weapons, and uses them. That's far more likely than a big player like Russia or the US throwing them around. There's also the billionaire psychopath aspect. Currently the nation state is still large and powerful enough to keep them in check, but that's rapidly fading, with both Russia and the USA falling to "strongman" illusions run by billionaires. Will that break down completely once someone as rich as Musk decides to take over an entire (or part of a) country with a robot army? Yes, those thousands of bipedal robots and quadcopter drones are only there to move parcels, but they could also drive a tank, carry a bomb, or punch through a wall.
A relatively small cult, or a rich country taken over by a cult, could bring something like this about, I fear. We would rebuild, though, unless something else were to happen at the same time. But of course, there's climate change and other random disasters, and with the right (wrong) timing...
“… although the “good news” is that our species will likely survive the cataclysms to come.”
Mainstream consensus science def does not tell us this. Whether we will near-term survive or not is very much an open question in the sciences. Do you think people shouldn’t know that the risk is extremely high that we won’t?
Please explain HOW the last remaining (never a good sign from an evolutionary perspective) of human can survive this right-on-time multifaceted converging cataclysm that is bearing down like a runaway speeding Mack truck on an ice-slicked hill:
=====
Up to a 12 F heat increase is projected for this century with half by midcentury (NOAA / EU climate reporting agencies). Noting that prolonged outdoor exposure to a 2 C increase will result in heat stroke even for young, healthy, hydrated human animals resting in the shade.
Noting that solar activity has only been as active as it has been for the past 100 years for 10% of the past 11,500 years and that it is projected to steadily increase for the next 50 years.
====
An AMOC stop. Projected for midcentury (potentially as soon as 2035). Plummeting temp fluctuations in the 10-15 C / 18-27 F range in the northern zone; a projected 4-5 billion human die off and even more extreme heat in the temperate zone. All within a decade of stop.
=====
Noting that we are spang in the zone for a cluster of nightmarish Miyake ejections, each 50-80x the size / intensity of the 1859 Carrington Event (which if occurring today would likely take down significant regions of the global energy grid for many months, years and potentially forever for many very real reasons).
Noting that nine extreme Miyake Events have occurred during just the past 15k years.
Noting that airbursts large enough to take out whole cities have an approx 1,500 year periodicity.
Noting that supervolcanos have an approx 17k year periodicity.
Noting that we are so in the zone for all of it.
Tick tock …
=====
Fast disappearing freshwater (a quarter of human biological organisms now exist in drought conditions); steadily declining seed / soil viability; steadily slowing photosynthesis; a mere 70 days of global ‘food surplus’ and noting that staple crops are projected to crash by 30% by 2030 (and ongoing).
=====
Runaway mass nonhuman die off: 65% of vertebrae species, 50% of insects, 85% of freshwater fish and 93% of ocean biomass have died off since 1970 with ongoing acceleration.
=====
Radically collapsing human fertility / sperm viability: 60% since 1970 and currently at 3% annually. At this rate, H. sapiens is functionally extinct in around 170 years although Henry Gee, paleontologist, evolutionary biologist and editor at Nature (dot com / in publication since 1869) has written (in Scientific American) that we might already be there. A “dead species walking”.
Noting that all human biological organisms are now saturated with disease-driving, reproductive-failing, life-shortening ‘forever’ PFAS / plastic particulates: in the bloodstream; in every organ of the body; in sperm, placenta and even in the bodily organs of human fetuses.
Noting that the snow on the highest mountain peaks; all fresh water; all ocean water; the air and the soil are all saturated too and noting that the majority of the past three decades of plastic manufacturing have not yet particularized and that plastic manufacturing increases every year.
=====
A potential near-term colossal comet fragment storm. Noting that around 2000, Earth began moving into a 350-400 year zone of its orbit that is thick with dense clouds of comet debris contains many large civilization ending chunks.
Noting that Earth was pounded from Alaska to New Guinea by a colossal comet fragment storm (during the ramping of the deadly destructive Gothenburg excursion event) with a very wide strewnfield that ignited 10-15% of Earth’s surface.
Noting that it is currently unknown if colossal comet fragment storms are a component of frequent minima / reversal events.
=====
Radically collapsing geomagnetic field strength (that terrestrial lifeforms depend on for sanity, sustenance, physical health / reproductive ability and life itself): around 60% since 3,100 BCE, The speed of this collapse significantly increased during the past 400 years (from 5% a century to 5% a year). It has radically increased during the past 1.5 decades in advance of a 100% normal, deadly and destructive geomagnetic minima / excursion or incursion (we don’t know which yet) / polarity reversal event.
Noting that whopper excursion events (six during just the past 70k years) have an approx 13k year periodicity (+/- 1k) with lesser, still deadly and destructive, geomagnetic minima events (without excursion / incursion) scale invariantly occurring between the whoppers, like the minima event, tightly sandwiched between two horror show Miyake events, that crashed Mayan culture and killed countless millions of human biological organisms globally.
“The strength of Earth's magnetic field in the past, recorded by rocks and sediments, provides a proxy for past flux of ultraviolet radiation (UVR) to Earth's surface due to the role of the field in modulating stratigraphic ozone. About 40,000 years ago, mammalian fossils in Australia and Eurasia record an important die-off of large mammals that included Neanderthals in Europe. In the Americas and Europe, a large mammalian die-off appears to have occurred ~13,000 years ago. Both die-offs can be linked to minima in Earth's magnetic field strength implying that UVR flux variations to Earth's surface influenced mammalian evolution. For the last ~200,000 years, estimates of the timing of branching episodes in the human evolutionary tree, from modern and fossil DNA and Y chromosomes, can be linked to minima in field strength, which implies a long-term role for UVR in human evolution. New fossil finds, improved fossil dating, knowledge of the past strength of Earth's magnetic field, and refinements in the human evolutionary tree, are sharpening the focus on a possible link between UVR arriving at the Earth's surface, magnetic field strength, and events in mammalian evolution.”
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2018RG000629?fbclid=IwAR2gpsdSng2b1mg7UxSAlyO07iAR2_DO9-hKjjxVqAKJb80lVC1HfXIuAKo
Noting that modern mainstream science has been researching the geomagnetic field and its relationship to solar variability since the late 1500s. It has been studying the effects of the field on terrestrial operating systems including physiological / neurological, including human, since the mid 1800s.
Noting that extreme human and nonhuman die off; extreme heat; AMOC stop and extreme effects; global drought and extreme converging volcanic activity are all expected components of whopper geomagnetic minima / reversal events which are as common as dirt here in Earth.
“The Earth’s core is undergoing a dramatic change with geomagnetic field strength dropping by 40% over the last 400 years, and satellite observations showing the field weakening ten times faster than previously calculated. These changes are a precursor to a common geological phenomenon known as a geomagnetic polarity reversal, where the north and south magnetic poles of the Earth reverse. Geomagnetic polarity reversals significantly decrease the strength of the magnetic field, thereby considerably increasing the interaction of the solar wind with the Earth’s atmosphere and biosphere. The purpose of this research is to answer if the United States is prepared for the impacts to national security resulting from the next geomagnetic polarity reversal.”
[ excerpt from: A Research Report Submitted to the Faculty of the Air Force Air Command and Staff College by Tyler J. Williams, Captain, U.S. Air Force. 2015. Approved for public release ]
Noting that the military would not have approved public release of this report if it was not factual; that the report is a decade old and that geomagnetic field strength collapse has been radically accelerating for the past decade so that “40%” can be bumped up to around 55-60% currently with an established pattern of acceleration.
Note “biosphere” which is inclusive of ‘human biological organisms’.
Noting that a geomagnetic minima / reversal occurred at the peak of PETM warming / extreme extinction. This minima / reversal stands out as a sharp heat spike against the warming / extincting background.
Noting that during the geomagnetic minima / incursion (not excursion) / polarity reversal event 800k years ago, human population was reduced to less than 2,000 individual human animals.
This tiny, twirling, externally-forced,exceedingly unstable clump of space debris, which is careening and wobbling around a colossal, volatile, flaming sphere (that with near-term periodicity annihilates the life it enables) in a violently churning, thickly radiated, virus-swarmed, debris-clogged ocean of space, is def not a safe place for human animals to live. It never has been and cannot ever be and the human herd is not in charge here.
Noting that nine other iterations of human extincted during just the past 300k years (a very skinny blink in time) as a direct or indirect result of exoterresterial / terrestrial conditions that nearly precisely mirror what is occurring now and projected for this very dangerous century.
Which changes everything, doesn’t it? We can no longer blithely / naively assume that the last remaining iteration of human, now pathologically alienated from actuality / place to the point of literal psychosis (by clinical definition); tightly shrink wrapped in a received, painful but much preferred hallucinatory amnesia; all-about-me woo-woo’d in every kind of way and 24/7/365 ‘entertained’ on demand, can survive this very dangerous century and the next. All signs point toward near-term termination of the last human species.
It is time to hospice the human herd.